Hanumanji

Hanumanji
Jai Hanuman Gyan Gun Sagar Jai Kapeesh Tihu Lok Ujaagar Ram Doot Atulita Baladhaama Anjani Putra Pavanasuta Naama

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Trading Nifty on 29-05-2012

So Yb started from 4789 upwards now stands labelled as:
YbA in progress:
sw1=4789-4956=167
sw2=4956-4804(ended at 4810)
sw3=4810 upwards in progress
(i)=4810-4908=98
(ii)=4908-4856=52
(iii)=4856 upwards in progress target minimum 1.62*(i)=159=5015
4856-4932=76
4932-4889=43
4889  upwards in progress as 5 wave form(4889-4936;4936-4913;4913-4971;4971-4943;4943 to 5020(likely) in progress
These waves within waves can be seen on the charts as follows:
And therefore once this 5018-5020 is reached a downwave is likely to start--- and the degree of that downwave would be known later(as 5018-5020 is signalling end of upwaves of 3 different degrees of waves).

Sameer Anand asked a very interesting question:
Q
sir
as per ur EW analysis 5015 is minimum for (iii)
is there a way to find maximum for (iii)?
UnQ
While EW wise an extension ranges from 1.618% to 425%,we use other indicaters,particularly channels/trendlines and momentum (once the minimum has been reached)to find out the point of reversal.
In current scenario:




Charts like above along with various ema(usually 5/10) cross-overs and/or Stochastic cross-overs are used to find out the extent of extension and beginning of its reversal.
3.20 PM
EOD
At EOD our labels stand as:

So Yb started from 4789 upwards now stands labelled as:
YbA in progress:
sw1=4789-4956=167
sw2=4956-4804(ended at 4810)
sw3=4810 upwards in progress
(i)=4810-4908=98
(ii)=4908-4856=52
(iii)=4856 upwards in progress target minimum 1.62*(i)=159=5015
4856-4932=76
4932-4889=43
4889 -5020=131
5020-4983*=37
4983---upwards by min 47 likely tomorrow to complete (iii)






Raghu

2 comments:

  1. Dear Raghuji,

    If YB waves are impulsive with 5 waves and all correctives are 3 waves, doesn't it mean that the correction has ended and a new bull rally has started with 4788 as base?

    Thanks,

    Jacs6401

    ReplyDelete
  2. @J: B waves are always 3 waves to complete the structure

    As far as the new relief rally [upto 5944 is just a relief rally], it can only be confirmed above 5169 or so and that too one leg down is still pending for the 2nd wave of the possible upside]

    So 2 options IMHO

    Bullish: The monster C wave as a follow up to the monster A from 4531 to 5629 to be confirmed as mentioned above

    Bearish: The current upmove is the 4th sub-sub wave of monster B DOWN from the interim top of 5629

    We need to be open to both possibilities till the waves confirm otherwise - finer details by Guruji - HHHHH

    Good to see you here by the way ;)

    ReplyDelete

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